Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 10.207653 11.541509 13.077286 14.998707 17.370826 20.248395 24.075678
2024-12-15 8.206063 9.883138 12.015462 15.011234 19.265197 25.362345 35.359417
2024-12-22 7.037020 8.810677 11.211955 14.859183 20.589296 29.959156 48.471321
2024-12-29 6.451793 8.342862 11.043352 15.439297 23.035391 37.239321 71.989495
2025-01-05 5.728892 7.553604 10.245901 14.825387 23.255159 40.593252 90.872752
2025-01-12 5.135492 6.869814 9.492364 14.106588 23.038238 42.931914 110.397084
2025-01-19 4.703557 6.375195 8.960514 13.655296 23.193226 46.212592 139.085428
2025-01-26 4.420682 6.075961 8.698508 13.628343 24.204557 52.275612 195.040213
2025-02-02 4.389422 6.161410 9.074327 14.855106 28.412481 70.962993 429.455783
2025-02-09 4.278506 6.104715 9.195115 15.603453 31.813872 91.296060 1058.397411
2025-02-16 4.081931 5.887251 9.001770 15.655718 33.409788 106.809700 2627.038289
2025-02-23 3.972537 5.805700 9.044705 16.230567 36.791359 137.519442 35022.620564
2025-03-02 3.728466 5.494693 8.663265 15.866980 37.468008 157.256515 NaN
2025-03-09 3.536308 5.263552 8.419194 15.810460 39.316986 193.714019 NaN
2025-03-16 3.353570 5.033428 8.150225 15.640056 40.738217 235.279582 NaN
2025-03-23 3.265291 4.963906 8.191346 16.265830 45.736689 357.218101 NaN
2025-03-30 3.070825 4.685917 7.776437 15.602983 44.940383 390.784755 NaN
2025-04-06 2.884032 4.410748 7.344476 14.828240 43.337442 403.658413 NaN
2025-04-13 2.737304 4.201274 7.033351 14.342556 42.925566 449.896122 NaN
2025-04-20 2.640044 4.077853 6.892978 14.313567 44.773339 598.529736 NaN
2025-04-27 2.651214 4.158239 7.196260 15.635040 54.939538 1744.655306 NaN
2025-05-04 2.619770 4.154430 7.314576 16.443168 63.473083 6729.462015 NaN
2025-05-11 2.541383 4.053816 7.203840 16.499664 67.230754 26709.000691 NaN